Bracketology Week 15

What a crazy Saturday. A ton of upsets, and bubble changing games. No one wants to be the fourth #1 seed it seems. Villanova, Virginia and Xavier seem to have put a stranglehold on the top 3. Kansas takes the last spot for me being 10-4 against tier 1 teams. Houston skyrocketed up my charts. Their record vs. the top two tiers 5-3 and 2-0, is impressive. We will see what the committee does with their one bad loss.

IN: St. Bonaventure, Syracuse, and Baylor

OUT: USC, Washington, and UCLA

Last Four In: Syracuse, Baylor, NC State, Texas

Last Four Out: UCLA, USC, Washington, Nebraska

1 Seeds-  Villanova, VirginiaXavier, Kansas (+1)

2 Seeds- Auburn, Duke, Cincinnati, UNC (+1)

3 Seeds- Texas Tech, Michigan St., Clemson, Purdue (-2)

4 Seeds-  Arizona, Tennessee, Ohio St., Rhode Island (+1)

5 Seeds-  Gonzaga, Wichita St., Houston (+4), West Virginia (-1)

6 Seeds- NevadaKentucky (+2), Oklahoma (-1), Texas A&M (+1)

7 Seeds- Arizona St. (+1), Florida St., Creighton (-1), Missouri (+1)

8 Seeds- Seton Hall, Alabama, St. Mary’s (-2), TCU (+1)

9 Seeds- Michigan, Arkansas, Florida (-3), Miami (-2)

10 Seeds-  Providence, Va. Tech, St. Bonaventure (NEW), Butler (-1)

11 Seeds-  Middle Tennessee St., Kansas St., Louisville (-1), Texas (+1), NC State (+1)

12 Seeds- Loyola Chicago, Buffalo (+1),  Baylor (NEW), New Mexico St. (-1), Syracuse (NEW)

13 Seeds- Murray St., La. Lafeyette, Vermont (-1), E Tennessee St

14 Seeds-  Montana, Northern Kentucky, Charleston, South Dakota St.

15 Seeds- Florida Gulf Coast, Bucknell, Rider, UC Santa Barbara

16 Seeds- Savannah St., Prairie View A&M, Wagner, Winthrop, Penn, Stephen F. Austin

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Bracketology Week 14 Update

Now that we are getting closer, I’m going to try and do two updates a week. Nevada getting a win @Boise St. really strengthens their case, and all but crushes Boise St.’s chances. I think they have to win the conference tournament to get in. Providence, Florida St., and Missouri all had big wins as well. The only change in the top 16 I have is West Virginia leap frogging Oklahoma.

IN: Grambling St., Savannah St., Winthrop

OUT: Texas Southern, North Carolina AT&T, UNC-Asheville

Last Four In: Kansas St., Baylor, NC State, and UCLA

Last Four Out: Texas, Syracuse,

1 Seeds-  Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Xavier

2 Seeds- Auburn, Duke, Cincinnati, Kansas

3 Seeds- Texas Tech, Michigan St., Clemson, UNC

4 Seeds-  Arizona, Ohio St., Tennessee, West Virginia (+1)

5 Seeds-  Oklahoma (-1), Rhode Island, Gonzaga, Wichita St.

6 Seeds- NevadaSt. Mary’s, Florida, Creighton

7 Seeds- Miami, Texas A&M (+1), Arizona St. (+1), Florida St. (+1)

8 Seeds- Kentucky (-1), Seton Hall (-1), Alabama, Missouri (+1)

9 Seeds- Michigan (-1), TCU, Butler (-2), Arkansas (+2)

10 Seeds-  Louisville, Houston, Providence (+1), Va. Tech (+1)

11 Seeds-  Washington, Middle Tennessee St. (-2), New Mexico St. (-2), UCLA (+1), Kansas St. (+1)

12 Seeds- Loyola Chicago, Vermont (+1), Texas (-2), NC State, USC (-1)

13 Seeds- Murray St., La. Lafeyette (-1), Buffalo, E Tennessee St

14 Seeds-  Montana, Northern Kentucky, Charleston, South Dakota St.

15 Seeds- Florida Gulf Coast, Bucknell, Rider, UC Santa Barbara (+1)

16 Seeds- Savannah St. (NEW), Grambling St. (NEW),  Wagner, Winthrop (NEW), Penn (-1), Stephen F. Austin (-1)

Week 14 Bracketology

I will use the reveal for the top 4 seed lines. Committee was pretty close to what everyone thought. Oklahoma on the 4 line was debatable, but we have a long way to go. Clemson @ FSU, TCU @ WVU, Nevada @ Boise St., Cincinnati @ Houston, Villanova @ Xavier, and UNC @ Louisville highlight this week’s slate of games.

IN: UCLA

OUT: Boise St.

Last Four In: NC State, UCLA, Kansas St. and Washington

Last Four Out: Syracuse, Marquette, Mississippi St., Boise St.

1 Seeds-  Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Xavier (+1)

2 Seeds- Auburn, Duke, Cincinnati (-1), Kansas (+1)

3 Seeds- Texas Tech, Michigan St. (-1), Clemson (+1), UNC (+2)

4 Seeds-  Arizona, Ohio St., Tennessee, Oklahoma (+1)

5 Seeds-  West Virginia, Rhode Island, Gonzaga (-2), Wichita St. (+1)

6 Seeds- Nevada, St. Mary’s (-3), Creighton (+1), Seton Hall (+2)

7 Seeds- Kentucky, Butler, Miami (-1), Florida (+3)

8 Seeds- Michigan (-2), Arizona St., Texas A&M (+1), Florida St. (-1)

9 Seeds- Missouri (+2), New Mexico St., Middle Tennesee St. (-1), TCU (-1)

10 Seeds-  Louisville  (-1), Texas, Houston (-1), Alabama (+1),

11 Seeds-  Va. Tech, USC, Providence, Washington (-1), Arkansas (+1)

12 Seeds- Loyola Chicago, La. Lafeyette, Kansas St., UCLA (NEW), NC State (-2)

13 Seeds- Murray St., Vermont, Buffalo, E Tennessee St

14 Seeds-  Montana, Northern Kentucky, Charleston, South Dakota St. (+1)

15 Seeds- Florida Gulf Coast, Bucknell (-1), Stephen F Austin (-1), Rider

16 Seeds- North Carolina A&T, Texas Southern,  Wagner, UNC-Asheville, UC Santa Barbara, Penn (-1)

First 16 Reveal

My guesses for today’s top 16 reveal.

1- Villanova, Virginia, Xavier, and Cincinnati

-The first 3 were easy. That fourth spot is totally up for grabs. Could go about 5 different ways. If Purdue would have beat Michigan St. it would have been them. Michigan St. just doesn’t have enough quality wins for me.

2- Duke, Kansas, Purdue, and Texas Tech

Texas Tech could be a 1, or could be a 3, it really depends on what metrics the committee is using. Duke and Kansas have the top 50 wins to put them on the 2 line and Purdue has been great, despite going 0-2 this week. The Big 10 being down hurts their shot at a 1.

3- Michigan St., Auburn, Clemson, and UNC

Michigan St. got a big win yesterday. Without it I had them as borderline not being in the top 16 despite the great W-L record. Auburn, and Clemson both have good records but need a few more top 50 wins. UNC helped themselves getting a big top 50 win against Duke.

4- Tennessee, Gonzaga, Ohio St. and Arizona

Ohio St. might have the biggest turn around since the season started. They weren’t even in my bracket after the first month. Again a weak Big 10 has hurt their seed. Gonzaga gets into the 4 line with Oklahoma and WVU losing yesterday and Bulldogs getting a win against St. Mary’s. I see them dropping out of the top 16 by season’s end, as other school get a lot more chances to add quality wins. Arizona is the big question mark for me. This last spot could go a number of different ways. Rhode Island fans would like a spot but they lack enough quality wins to get a top 16 spot.

First 2 out West Virginia, and Oklahoma

Bracketology Week 13

It looks like it is Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, and everyone else. These 3 look like for sure #1 seeds, but no one else is separating themselves from the field. Kansas St. and Florida both dropped 4 spots this week. Bubble watch is getting a little more exciting as every bad loss is now under a microscope. Purdue has a tough week against Ohio St. and @Michigan. They get to see what it would be like to play in the Big 12 or SEC where every week is tough.

IN: NC State, Missouri, Washington, Providence, Wagner, UNC Asheville, Penn, Rider

OUT: Notre Dame, Marquette, Syracuse

Last Four In: Boise St, Arkansas, Kansas St., Providence

Last Four Out: Notre Dame, Syracuse, Maryland, SMU

 

1 Seeds-  Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Cincinnati (+1)

2 Seeds- Michigan St., Auburn (+1), Xavier, Duke

3 Seeds- Texas Tech, Gonzaga, Kansas (-1), St. Mary’s (+1)

4 Seeds-  Arizona (-1), Ohio St., Clemson (+1), Tennessee (+1)

5 Seeds-  UNC, West Virginia (-1), Oklahoma (-1), Rhode Island (+1)

6 Seeds- Nevada, Wichita St. (-1), Michigan (+1), Miami (+2)

7 Seeds- Florida St., Creighton, Kentucky (-1), Butler (+2)

8 Seeds- TCU, Seton Hall, Arizona St. (-1), Middle Tennessee St. (+2)

9 Seeds- Louisville, Houston, New Mexico St., Texas A&M (+1)

10 Seeds-  NC State (NEW), Texas (+1), Washington (NEW), Florida (-4)

11 Seeds-  Alabama, Va. Tech, USC, Providence (NEW), Missouri (NEW)

12 Seeds- Loyola Chicago, La. Lafeyette, Arkansas (-2), Kansas St. (-4), Boise St. (+1),

13 Seeds- Murray St., East Tennessee St. (-1), Vermont, Buffalo

14 Seeds-  Bucknell, Stephen F. Austin, Montana, Northern Kentucky (-1)

15 Seeds- Rider (NEW), Penn (NEW), South Dakota St., Florida Gulf Coast

16 Seeds- North Carolina A&T, Texas Southern,  Wagner (NEW), UNC-Asheville (NEW), UC Santa Barbara, Northeastern

Bracketology Week 12

One line stayed the same for the first time in weeks. A lot of movement in the rankings with the wild Big 12/SEC showdown. I have Boise St. in for now, but I don’t think they can hang on. I think they will be the Illinois State of this year. Great season just not enough in the end. They will have to upset Nevada at least once if not twice to get in. Games of the Week, Kansas @ Kansas St. (Tonight), UNC @ Clemson, Texas Tech @ TCU.

IN: Alabama, Syracuse, Va. Tech, USC

OUT: SMU, Maryland, Missouri, Baylor

Last Four In: Alabama, Va. Tech, USC, Boise St

Last Four Out: Maryland, SMU, Western Kentucky, Missouri

 

1 Seeds-  Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Duke

2 Seeds- Michigan St., Kansas, Xavier, Cincinnati (+1)

3 Seeds- Arizona, Auburn (+1), Texas Tech (+2), Gonzaga (+1),

4 Seeds-  West Virginia (-2), Ohio St., St. Mary’s (+2), Oklahoma (-1)

5 Seeds-  Clemson (-1), Wichita St., UNC (-2), Tennessee (+1)

6 Seeds- Nevada, Kentucky (-1), Rhode Island (+2), Florida (+2)

7 Seeds- Florida St., Arizona St., Michigan, Creighton

8 Seeds- TCU, Kansas St. (+2), Miami (-2), Seton Hall (-3)

9 Seeds- Louisville, Houston, Butler (+1), New Mexico St. (+2)

10 Seeds-  Arkansas (+1), Texas A&M (-2), Middle Tennesse St. (+2), Notre Dame (-1)

11 Seeds-  Marquette, Alabama (NEW), Syracuse (NEW), USC (NEW), Va. Tech (NEW), Texas

12 Seeds- E. Tennessee St., Boise St. (-1), Loyola Chicago (+1), La. Lafeyette

13 Seeds- Murray St. (-1), Vermont, Northern Kentucky, Buffalo

14 Seeds-  Charleston, Bucknell, Stephen F. Austin, Montana

15 Seeds- Iona, Princeton, South Dakota St., Florida Gulf Coast

16 Seeds- North Carolina A&T, Texas Southern,  St. Francis Pa., , Winthrop, UC Santa Barbara, Northeastern

Bracketology Week 11

A lot of changes in seeding and smaller conference auto bids. Games of the week this week…..Kansas @ Oklahoma, and Virginia @ Duke

NEW: Texas A&M, Boise ST., Murray St., Loyola Chicago, Princeton, Florida Gulf Coast, North Carolina A&T, Winthrop, Northeastern

Last Four In: Marquette, New Mexico St., Boise St, Arkansas

Last Four Out: USC, BYU, Western Kentucky, Syracuse

 

1 Seeds-  Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Duke (+1)

2 Seeds- Michigan St. (+1), Kansas (+1), West Virginia (-1), Xavier (+1)

3 Seeds- Oklahoma (-1), Cincinnati (+1), UNC (+1), Arizona (+1)

4 Seeds-  Auburn (+1)Gonzaga (-1), Ohio St. (+3), Clemson (+1)

5 Seeds-  Seton Hall, Kentucky (-1), Texas Tech (-3), Wichita St. (-3)

6 Seeds- Tennessee, Nevada (+2), Miami (+1), St. Mary’s (+1)

7 Seeds- Florida St., Arizona St. (-2), Michigan (-1), Creighton (-1)

8 Seeds- Florida, Texas A&M (NEW), Rhode Island (+1), TCU (-2)

9 Seeds- SMU, Louisville (+1), Houston (+1), Notre Dame (-1)

10 Seeds-  Butler, Maryland (-1), Missouri (+1), Kansas St. (+1)

11 Seeds-  Texas (-1), MarquetteArkansas (-3), New Mexico St. (+1), Baylor (-2), Boise St. (New)

12 Seeds- E. Tennessee St., Middle Tennessee, Murray St. (NEW), La. Lafeyette (+2)

13 Seeds- Loyola Chicago (NEW), Vermont, Northern Kentucky, Buffalo

14 Seeds-  Charleston, Bucknell, Stephen F. Austin, Montana (+2)

15 Seeds- Iona, Princeton (NEW), South Dakota St., Florida Gulf Coast (NEW)

16 Seeds- North Carolina A&T (NEW), Texas Southern,  St. Francis Pa., , Winthrop (NEW), UC Santa Barbara, Northeastern (NEW)