First 16 Reveal

My guesses for today’s top 16 reveal.

1- Villanova, Virginia, Xavier, and Cincinnati

-The first 3 were easy. That fourth spot is totally up for grabs. Could go about 5 different ways. If Purdue would have beat Michigan St. it would have been them. Michigan St. just doesn’t have enough quality wins for me.

2- Duke, Kansas, Purdue, and Texas Tech

Texas Tech could be a 1, or could be a 3, it really depends on what metrics the committee is using. Duke and Kansas have the top 50 wins to put them on the 2 line and Purdue has been great, despite going 0-2 this week. The Big 10 being down hurts their shot at a 1.

3- Michigan St., Auburn, Clemson, and UNC

Michigan St. got a big win yesterday. Without it I had them as borderline not being in the top 16 despite the great W-L record. Auburn, and Clemson both have good records but need a few more top 50 wins. UNC helped themselves getting a big top 50 win against Duke.

4- Tennessee, Gonzaga, Ohio St. and Arizona

Ohio St. might have the biggest turn around since the season started. They weren’t even in my bracket after the first month. Again a weak Big 10 has hurt their seed. Gonzaga gets into the 4 line with Oklahoma and WVU losing yesterday and Bulldogs getting a win against St. Mary’s. I see them dropping out of the top 16 by season’s end, as other school get a lot more chances to add quality wins. Arizona is the big question mark for me. This last spot could go a number of different ways. Rhode Island fans would like a spot but they lack enough quality wins to get a top 16 spot.

First 2 out West Virginia, and Oklahoma

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Bracketology Week 13

It looks like it is Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, and everyone else. These 3 look like for sure #1 seeds, but no one else is separating themselves from the field. Kansas St. and Florida both dropped 4 spots this week. Bubble watch is getting a little more exciting as every bad loss is now under a microscope. Purdue has a tough week against Ohio St. and @Michigan. They get to see what it would be like to play in the Big 12 or SEC where every week is tough.

IN: NC State, Missouri, Washington, Providence, Wagner, UNC Asheville, Penn, Rider

OUT: Notre Dame, Marquette, Syracuse

Last Four In: Boise St, Arkansas, Kansas St., Providence

Last Four Out: Notre Dame, Syracuse, Maryland, SMU

 

1 Seeds-  Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Cincinnati (+1)

2 Seeds- Michigan St., Auburn (+1), Xavier, Duke

3 Seeds- Texas Tech, Gonzaga, Kansas (-1), St. Mary’s (+1)

4 Seeds-  Arizona (-1), Ohio St., Clemson (+1), Tennessee (+1)

5 Seeds-  UNC, West Virginia (-1), Oklahoma (-1), Rhode Island (+1)

6 Seeds- Nevada, Wichita St. (-1), Michigan (+1), Miami (+2)

7 Seeds- Florida St., Creighton, Kentucky (-1), Butler (+2)

8 Seeds- TCU, Seton Hall, Arizona St. (-1), Middle Tennessee St. (+2)

9 Seeds- Louisville, Houston, New Mexico St., Texas A&M (+1)

10 Seeds-  NC State (NEW), Texas (+1), Washington (NEW), Florida (-4)

11 Seeds-  Alabama, Va. Tech, USC, Providence (NEW), Missouri (NEW)

12 Seeds- Loyola Chicago, La. Lafeyette, Arkansas (-2), Kansas St. (-4), Boise St. (+1),

13 Seeds- Murray St., East Tennessee St. (-1), Vermont, Buffalo

14 Seeds-  Bucknell, Stephen F. Austin, Montana, Northern Kentucky (-1)

15 Seeds- Rider (NEW), Penn (NEW), South Dakota St., Florida Gulf Coast

16 Seeds- North Carolina A&T, Texas Southern,  Wagner (NEW), UNC-Asheville (NEW), UC Santa Barbara, Northeastern

Bracketology Week 12

One line stayed the same for the first time in weeks. A lot of movement in the rankings with the wild Big 12/SEC showdown. I have Boise St. in for now, but I don’t think they can hang on. I think they will be the Illinois State of this year. Great season just not enough in the end. They will have to upset Nevada at least once if not twice to get in. Games of the Week, Kansas @ Kansas St. (Tonight), UNC @ Clemson, Texas Tech @ TCU.

IN: Alabama, Syracuse, Va. Tech, USC

OUT: SMU, Maryland, Missouri, Baylor

Last Four In: Alabama, Va. Tech, USC, Boise St

Last Four Out: Maryland, SMU, Western Kentucky, Missouri

 

1 Seeds-  Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Duke

2 Seeds- Michigan St., Kansas, Xavier, Cincinnati (+1)

3 Seeds- Arizona, Auburn (+1), Texas Tech (+2), Gonzaga (+1),

4 Seeds-  West Virginia (-2), Ohio St., St. Mary’s (+2), Oklahoma (-1)

5 Seeds-  Clemson (-1), Wichita St., UNC (-2), Tennessee (+1)

6 Seeds- Nevada, Kentucky (-1), Rhode Island (+2), Florida (+2)

7 Seeds- Florida St., Arizona St., Michigan, Creighton

8 Seeds- TCU, Kansas St. (+2), Miami (-2), Seton Hall (-3)

9 Seeds- Louisville, Houston, Butler (+1), New Mexico St. (+2)

10 Seeds-  Arkansas (+1), Texas A&M (-2), Middle Tennesse St. (+2), Notre Dame (-1)

11 Seeds-  Marquette, Alabama (NEW), Syracuse (NEW), USC (NEW), Va. Tech (NEW), Texas

12 Seeds- E. Tennessee St., Boise St. (-1), Loyola Chicago (+1), La. Lafeyette

13 Seeds- Murray St. (-1), Vermont, Northern Kentucky, Buffalo

14 Seeds-  Charleston, Bucknell, Stephen F. Austin, Montana

15 Seeds- Iona, Princeton, South Dakota St., Florida Gulf Coast

16 Seeds- North Carolina A&T, Texas Southern,  St. Francis Pa., , Winthrop, UC Santa Barbara, Northeastern

Bracketology Week 11

A lot of changes in seeding and smaller conference auto bids. Games of the week this week…..Kansas @ Oklahoma, and Virginia @ Duke

NEW: Texas A&M, Boise ST., Murray St., Loyola Chicago, Princeton, Florida Gulf Coast, North Carolina A&T, Winthrop, Northeastern

Last Four In: Marquette, New Mexico St., Boise St, Arkansas

Last Four Out: USC, BYU, Western Kentucky, Syracuse

 

1 Seeds-  Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Duke (+1)

2 Seeds- Michigan St. (+1), Kansas (+1), West Virginia (-1), Xavier (+1)

3 Seeds- Oklahoma (-1), Cincinnati (+1), UNC (+1), Arizona (+1)

4 Seeds-  Auburn (+1)Gonzaga (-1), Ohio St. (+3), Clemson (+1)

5 Seeds-  Seton Hall, Kentucky (-1), Texas Tech (-3), Wichita St. (-3)

6 Seeds- Tennessee, Nevada (+2), Miami (+1), St. Mary’s (+1)

7 Seeds- Florida St., Arizona St. (-2), Michigan (-1), Creighton (-1)

8 Seeds- Florida, Texas A&M (NEW), Rhode Island (+1), TCU (-2)

9 Seeds- SMU, Louisville (+1), Houston (+1), Notre Dame (-1)

10 Seeds-  Butler, Maryland (-1), Missouri (+1), Kansas St. (+1)

11 Seeds-  Texas (-1), MarquetteArkansas (-3), New Mexico St. (+1), Baylor (-2), Boise St. (New)

12 Seeds- E. Tennessee St., Middle Tennessee, Murray St. (NEW), La. Lafeyette (+2)

13 Seeds- Loyola Chicago (NEW), Vermont, Northern Kentucky, Buffalo

14 Seeds-  Charleston, Bucknell, Stephen F. Austin, Montana (+2)

15 Seeds- Iona, Princeton (NEW), South Dakota St., Florida Gulf Coast (NEW)

16 Seeds- North Carolina A&T (NEW), Texas Southern,  St. Francis Pa., , Winthrop (NEW), UC Santa Barbara, Northeastern (NEW)

Bracketology Week 10

Games of the week are Kansas @ West Virginia and St. Mary’s @ Gonzaga. St Marys would get a huge boost to their resume if they could get a road win vs. Gonzaga. Last real chance for a grade A win.

NEW: Marquette, and Missouri

Last Four In: Va. Tech, Missouri, Marquette, Syracuse

Last Four Out: Penn St., Boise St., Georgia, BYU

 

1 Seeds-  Villanova, West Virginia, Virginia, Purdue (+2)

2 Seeds- Wichita St., Duke, Oklahoma, Texas Tech

3 Seeds- Kansas, Xavier, Michigan St. (-2), Gonzaga (+1)

4 Seeds-  UNC, Kentucky, Cincinnati, Arizona (+1)

5 Seeds-  Arizona St. (+2), Seton Hall, Clemson, Auburn (+2)

6 Seeds- Tennessee, Creighton, TCU, Michigan (+2)

7 Seeds- Miami, Ohio St. (+2), St. Mary’s (+1), Florida St. (-2)

8 Seeds- Nevada, Florida, Notre Dame (-1), Arkansas (-1)

9 Seeds- Maryland, SMU, Baylor, Rhode Island (+1)

10 Seeds- Houston, Texas, Butler, Louisville (+1)

11 Seeds-  UCLA, Kansas St., Syracuse, Marquette (NEW), Missouri (NEW), Va. Tech

12 Seeds- E. Tennessee St., Middle Tennessee, New Mexico St., Missouri St.

13 Seeds- Belmont, Vermont, Stephen F. Austin, Northern Kentucky, Buffalo

14 Seeds-  La. Lafeyette, Charleston, Bucknell, Stephen F. Austin

15 Seeds- IonaPenn, South Dakota St., Lipscomb

16 Seeds- Hampton, Texas Southern,  St. Francis Pa., Montana, UNC Asheville, UC Santa Barbara

Bracketology Week 9

West Virginia moved to my 1 line last week, and they proved they belong. A crazy week of losses across the top 25. Plenty of changes across the board. Texas Tech @ Oklahoma is my game of the week.

NEW: Ohio St., Mississippi St., Buffalo, La. Lafeyette, South Dakota St.

Last Four In: Louisville, Syracuse, Mississippi St., Va. Tech

Last Four Out: Penn St., Boise St., Missouri, Georgia

 

1 Seeds-  Michigan St., Villanova, West Virginia, Virginia (+1)

2 Seeds- Texas Tech (+3), Wichita St., Duke (-1), Oklahoma (+1)

3 Seeds- Kansas, Purdue, Xavier (-1), Arizona St. (-1)

4 Seeds-  Gonzaga (+1), UNC, Kentucky, Cincinnati (+1)

5 Seeds-  Arizona, Florida St. (+2), Seton Hall (+1), Clemson (+1)

6 Seeds- Tennessee, Creighton (+1), Texas A&M (-3), TCU (-1)

7 Seeds- Miami (-2), Arkansas (-1), Notre Dame, Auburn (+3)

8 Seeds- Michigan (+1), St. Mary’s, Nevada (+1), Florida (+1)

9 Seeds- Ohio St. (NEW), Maryland (+1), SMU (-1), Baylor (-2)

10 Seeds- Houston, Texas (-2), Butler (-2), Rhode Island (+1)

11 Seeds-  UCLA (-1), Kansas St., Syracuse, Louisville, Mississippi St. (NEW), Va. Tech (-1)

12 Seeds- E. Tennessee St. (+2), Middle Tennessee, New Mexico St., Missouri St.

13 Seeds- Belmont, Vermont, Stephen F. Austin, Northern Kentucky (-1), Buffalo (NEW)

14 Seeds-  La. Lafeyette (NEW), Charleston, Bucknell (-1), Stephen F. Austin (-1)

15 Seeds- IonaPenn, South Dakota St. (NEW), Lipscomb

16 Seeds- Hampton, Texas Southern,  St. Francis Pa., Montana, UNC Asheville, UC Santa Barbara

Bracketology Week 8

West Virginia moves to my 1 line. They will have a week to prove it as they play at Kansas St. and at home against Oklahoma. That Oklahoma @ West Virginia is my game of the week. Other notables: UNC @ Virginia, Kansas @ TCU & vs. Texas Tech.

NEW: East Tennessee St., Iona, Northern Kentucky, Boise St., Syracuse, Rhode Island, Butler

Last Four In: Rhode Island, Boise St., Louisville, Syracuse

Last Four Out: Penn St., Marquette, Mississippi St., Alabama

 

1 Seeds-  Michigan St., Villanova, West Virginia (+1), Duke

2 Seeds- Xavier, Arizona St. (-1), Wichita St., Virginia (+1)

3 Seeds- Kansas, Purdue, Oklahoma (+1), Texas A&M (-1)

4 Seeds-  Miami, UNC, TCU (-1), Kentucky

5 Seeds-  Texas Tech (+1), Arizona, Gonzaga, Cincinnati (+1)

6 Seeds- Clemson (+1), Seton Hall, Tennessee (-1), Arkansas (+1)

7 Seeds- CreightonFlorida St. (-1), Baylor (-2), Notre Dame

8 Seeds- SMU, Texas, Butler (NEW), St. Mary’s (+2)

9 Seeds- Florida, Michigan, Maryland (+1), Nevada (+1)

10 Seeds- UCLA, Auburn (+1), Va. Tech (-2), Houston (+1)

11 Seeds-  Minnesota, Kansas St., Rhode Island (NEW), Syracuse (NEW), Louisville (-3), Boise St. (NEW)

12 Seeds- Missouri St., Middle Tennessee, New Mexico St., Northern Kentucky (NEW)

13 Seeds- Bucknell, Belmont, Vermont, Stephen F. Austin (-2)

14 Seeds-  UT-Arlington (-1), Charleston, East Tennessee St. (NEW), Ball St.

15 Seeds- Iona (NEW), Penn, South Dakota, Lipscomb

16 Seeds- Hampton, Texas Southern,  St. Francis Pa., Montana, UNC Asheville, UC Santa Barbara