Bracketology Update 2/12

Eventually Oklahoma is going to have to win some conference games to get in. If they finish 4 games under .500 in the conference I’m not sure how you put them in without a run in the conference tourney.

1 Seed-  Duke, Tennessee, Virginia, Gonzaga

2 Seed- Kentucky, Michigan, North Carolina, Michigan St.

3 Seed-  Houston, Purdue, Kansas, Marquette

4 Seed- Nevada, Louisville, Iowa St. Wisconsin

5 Seed-  Villanova, LSU, Texas Tech, Virginia Tech

6 Seed-  Maryland, Iowa, Mississippi St., Kansas St.

7 Seed- Florida St, Cincinnati, Buffalo, Wofford

8 Seed- Auburn, TCU, Baylor, Washington

9 Seed- Ohio St., Syracuse,  St. Johns, Texas +1

10 Seed- Minnesota, Lipscomb, Mississippi, Alabama +1

11 Seed- NC State, UCF, Seton Hall, Clemson +1, VCU +1

12 Seed- Murray St., Temple, Arizona St., Oklahoma -3, Indiana -1

13 Seed- Hofstra, Vermont, New Mexico St., Yale

14 Seed- Old Dominion, South Dakota State, Northern Kentucky, Texas St

15 Seed- UC Irvine, Montana, Radford, Loyola

16 Seed- Robert Morris, Bucknell, Prairie View A&M, Norfolk St., Rider, Sam Houston St.

Last Four In: Temple, Arizona St., Oklahoma, Indiana

Last Four Out: Utah St., Butler, Nebraska, Belmont

Next Four Out: Creighton, Davidson, Florida, UNC-Greensboro, 

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Bracketology (1st After NET release)

The committee released their first 16 on Saturday morning. Very few surprises, and most had 15 of 16, and rankings weren’t alarming by any means. Houston and Nevada were the teams we were all waiting to see, and I thought they fairly ranked. Duke put an exclamation point on their #1 overall seed with a win at Virginia

1 Seed-  Duke, Tennessee, Virginia, Gonzaga

2 Seed- Kentucky, Michigan, North Carolina, Michigan St.

3 Seed-  Purdue, Kansas, Houston, Marquette +1

4 Seed- Nevada, Louisville, Iowa St. Wisconsin +1

5 Seed-  Villanova, LSU, Texas Tech, Virginia Tech -1

6 Seed-  Maryland, Iowa, Mississippi St., Kansas St.

7 Seed- Florida St, Cincinnati +1, Buffalo, Wofford +1

8 Seed- Washington -1, Auburn -1, Baylor, TCU +1

9 Seed- Oklahoma -1, Syracuse, Ohio St. + 1, St. Johns

10 Seed- Mississippi St. -1, Texas, Minnesota, Lipscomb

11 Seed- NC State +1, Indiana, Alabama, UCF +1, Seton Hall NEW

12 Seed- Murray St., Temple -1, VCU -1, Clemson NEW, Arizona St. -1

13 Seed- Hofstra, Vermont, New Mexico St., Yale

14 Seed- Old Dominion, South Dakota State, Northern Kentucky, Texas St. NEW

15 Seed- UC Irvine, Montana, Radford, Loyola

16 Seed- Robert Morris, Bucknell, Prairie View A&M, Norfolk St., Rider, Sam Houston St.

Last Four In: Temple, VCU, Clemson, Arizona St.

Last Four Out: Utah St. OUT, Florida OUT, Nebraska, Butler

Next Four Out: Creighton, Davidson, Belmont, UNC-Greensboro, 

Bracketology 2/7

I was excited as an Illinois State fan to be able to put them into my bracket. Unfortunately, it only lasted one game as they laid an egg and Loyola is back in as my Missouri Valley team. Excited for Saturday when we will get our first look at the committee’s top 16. Will change a lot of formulas, finally seeing how they use NET.

1 Seed-  Virginia, Tennessee, Duke, Gonzaga

2 Seed- Michigan, Kentucky, North Carolina, Michigan St.

3 Seed-  Kansas, Nevada, Houston, Purdue +1

4 Seed- Marquette, Iowa St, Louisville, Virginia Tech -1

5 Seed-  Villanova, LSU, Texas Tech, Wisconsin

6 Seed-  Maryland, Iowa, Mississippi St. +1, Kansas St. +1

7 Seed- Florida St, Auburn -1, Buffalo -1, Washington +1

8 Seed- Cincinnati, Baylor, Wofford +1 , Oklahoma

9 Seed- Syracuse, Mississippi, TCU -1, St. Johns +1

10 Seed- Ohio State, Texas, Minnesota, Lipscomb +1

11 Seed- Arizona St, Alabama, Temple NEW, VCU +1, Utah St. NEW, Indiana +1

12 Seed- Murray St., NC State -1, UCF -1, Florida -1

13 Seed- Hofstra, Vermont, New Mexico St., Yale +1

14 Seed- Old Dominion, South Dakota State, Northern Kentucky -1, Georgia St. +1

15 Seed- UC Irvine, Montana, Radford, Loyola NEW

16 Seed- Robert Morris, Bucknell, Prairie View A&M, Norfolk St., Rider, Sam Houston St.

Last Four In: Florida, UCF, NC State and Indiana

Last Four Out: Nebraska OUT, Seton Hall OUT, Davidson, Clemson

Next Four Out: Creighton, San Francisco, Belmont, UNC-Greensboro, 

 

Bracketology 2/4

I know I’m not the only one on Saturday who saw the NC State/Virginia Tech score and thought it was a mistake. NC State is definitely glad they moved away from the RPI and to NET. They are 34 in NET but would have been 125th in RPI. Being 0-5 against Quad 1 (I would count their Auburn win as a Quad 1) really hurts their resume. The bubble is really weak so I still have them in, but only by the slimmest of margins. The committee will announce their top 16 on Saturday and we will find out how much they use NET. Until then, we are all just guessing.

1 Seed-  Virginia, Tennessee, Duke, Gonzaga +1

2 Seed- Michigan, Michigan St. -1, Kentucky, North Carolina +1

3 Seed- Kansas -1, Nevada, Houston, Virginia Tech +1

4 Seed- Marquette -1, Iowa St, Louisville, Purdue +1

5 Seed-  Villanova, LSU, Texas Tech -1, Wisconsin

6 Seed-  Maryland, Iowa, Buffalo, Auburn +1

7 Seed- Florida St, Kansas St., Mississippi St., Washington +1

8 Seed- TCU, Cincinnati, Oklahoma -2, Baylor +1

9 Seed- Syracuse, Mississippi, Wofford +1,

10 Seed- St. Johns, Ohio State, Texas, Minnesota +1

11 Seed- Arizona St, Alabama, UCF, Florida, NC State -3, Lipscomb +1

12 Seed- VCU, Murray St., Seton Hall, Indiana NEW

13 Seed- Hofstra, Vermont +1, New Mexico St., Northern Kentucky

14 Seed- Yale, Old Dominion, Illinois State NEW, South Dakota State -1

15 Seed- UC Irvine, Montana, Radford, Georgia St. NEW

16 Seed- Robert Morris, Bucknell, Prairie View A&M, Norfolk St., Rider, Sam Houston St. NEW

Last Four Out: Temple OUT, Creighton, Utah St , San Francisco

Next Four Out: Belmont, UNC-Greensboro, St. Louis, Butler

 

Bracketology 1/31

1 Seed-  Virginia, Tennessee, Duke, Michigan St

2 Seed- Michigan, Kansas, Kentucky, Gonzaga

3 Seed- Nevada, North Carolina, Houston, Marquette

4 Seed- Virginia Tech, Iowa St, Texas Tech, Louisville +1

5 Seed-  Villanova, LSU, Purdue, Wisconsin +1

6 Seed-  Maryland, Iowa, Oklahoma -2, Buffalo +1

7 Seed- Florida St, Kansas St., Mississippi St., Auburn -1

8 Seed- NC State, TCU, Cincinnati +1, Washington +1

9 Seed- Syracuse, Mississippi -1, Nebraska -1, Baylor +2

10 Seed- St. Johns, Wofford, Ohio State, Texas

11 Seed- Arizona St, Alabama, UCF, Minnesota, Florida, Temple New

12 Seed- VCU, Murray St., Lipscomb, Seton Hall NEW

13 Seed- Hofstra,South Dakota St, New Mexico St., Northern Kentucky

14 Seed- Yale, Vermont, Old Dominion, Loyola Chicago

15 Seed- UC Irvine, Montana, Radford, Texas St.

16 Seed- Robert Morris, Bucknell, Prairie View A&M, Norfolk St., Rider, Abilene Christian

Last Four Out: Creighton, Arizona, Butler, Indiana

Next Four Out: San Francisco, UNC-Greensboro, St. Louis, Utah St.

Bracketology 1/28

I really think the top 8 are starting to make themselves clear. Kentucky has put some distance between them and UNC for that last spot on the 2 line. Purdue, who the analytics love, got a huge win against Michigan State who is playing really good basketball. Washington is starting to climb the rankings as well getting to road wins in the state of Oregon last week. The bottom of the bubble is just ugly. No one is doing anything to separate themselves. Temple, Arizona, Arizona State, Florida, UCF, Butler, Alabama, Baylor (might be playing the best of the bunch after a bad start to the year), Seton Hall and Minnesota are all so close, and non of them have a resume that stand out.

1 Seed-  Virginia, Tennessee, Duke, Michigan St

2 Seed- Michigan, Kansas, Kentucky, Gonzaga

3 Seed- Nevada, North Carolina, Houston, Marquette +1

4 Seed- Oklahoma, Virginia Tech, Iowa St, Texas Tech +1

5 Seed-  Villanova, LSU, Louisville, Purdue +1

6 Seed-  Wisconsin, Iowa, Auburn, Maryland -3

7 Seed- Florida St, Buffalo, Kansas St., Mississippi St. +1

8 Seed- Mississippi, NC State, Nebraska -1, TCU +1

9 Seed- Cincinnati, Indiana -1, Syracuse +1, Washington +2

10 Seed- St. Johns, Wofford, Ohio State -1, Texas -1

11 Seed- Arizona St, Alabama +1, UCF, Minnesota, Florida -1, Baylor NEW

12 Seed- VCU, Murray St., Lipscomb, Butler New

13 Seed- Hofstra, South Dakota St +1, New Mexico St., Northern Kentucky +1

14 Seed- Yale, Vermont, Old Dominion -1, Loyola Chicago -1

15 Seed- UC Irvine, Montana, Radford, Texas St.

16 Seed- Robert Morris NEW, Bucknell, Prairie View A&M NEW, Norfolk St., Rider, Abilene Christian

Last Four Out: Seton Hall, Temple, Creighton, Arizona

Next Four Out: San Francisco, UNC-Greensboro, St. Louis, Utah St.

Bracketology #11 1/23/2019

Nebraska, who I was really high on, had a bad loss at Rutgers, and Buffalo suffered a loss at Northern Illinois. Unfortunately for Buffalo, they don’t have a chance to get good wins to make up for it like Nebraska does. A couple more losses and they will be a bubble team. The terrors of being a mid major coach. Kansas State with four Tier 1 wins in a row is playing some great basketball. With Dean Wade back and Barry Brown Jr. playing his best basketball this team could climb to a top 4 seed and see themselves in the Elite 8 again.

1 Seed-  Virginia, Tennessee, Duke, Michigan St

2 Seed- Michigan, Kansas, Kentucky, Gonzaga

3 Seed- Nevada, North Carolina, Maryland +1, Houston +1

4 Seed- Oklahoma, Virginia Tech -1, Iowa St +2, Marquette +1

5 Seed-  Villanova, Texas Tech -2, LSU +2, Louisville +1

6 Seed-  Wisconsin +1, Purdue +1, Iowa +2,  Auburn -1

7 Seed- Nebraska -1, Florida St -2, Buffalo -3, Kansas St. +2

8 Seed- Mississippi, NC State, Mississippi St. -1, Indiana -1

9 Seed- Cincinnati, TCU, Texas, Ohio State -1

10 Seed- Syracuse, St. Johns, Florida, Wofford

11 Seed- Arizona, Arizona St, Seton Hall, Washington, UCF, Minnesota

12 Seed- VCU, Murray St., Lipscomb, Alabama NEW

13 Seed- Hofstra, Old Dominion, Loyola Chicago, New Mexico St.

14 Seed- Yale,  Vermont, South Dakota St, Northern Kentucky

15 Seed- UC Irvine, Montana, Radford, Texas St.

16 Seed- Sacred Heart, Bucknell, Texas Southern, Norfolk St., Rider, Abilene Christian

Last Four Out: San Francisco, Butler, Temple,Baylor

Next Four Out: Creighton, St. Mary’s, St. Louis, Utah St.